← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Fri, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 70% | 73% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 17% | 5.00 | fair |
| Frankfurt FSV win | 11% | 10% | 10.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Frankfurt FSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 519.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1625.64 | 1450.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.84 | -41.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 49.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.90 | -1.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |