← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 42% | 47% | 2.25 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.25 | fair |
| Bochum win | 29% | 26% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1337.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1553.36 | 1554.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.61 | 37.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| league points | 42.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.91 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.86 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |