← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Sat, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 38% | 36% | 2.50 | fair |
| Bielefeld win | 33% | 37% | 2.88 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 117.00 | 2066.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1330.77 | 1448.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.71 | -0.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| league points | 9.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.39 | 1.22 |
| state index | -1.71 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |