← 2. Bundesliga 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 54% | 39% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.60 | fair |
| Bielefeld win | 20% | 33% | 4.75 | value: +57% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 104.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1335.21 | 1546.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.03 | 60.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| league points | 8.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.38 | 1.90 |
| state index | -1.59 | 1.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |