← 2. Bundesliga 2009-10 · Sun, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cottbus win | 64% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Ahlen win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cottbus | Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 312.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1509.62 | 1312.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.75 | -23.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 44.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| state index | 0.31 | -1.55 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |