← 2. Bundesliga 2009-10 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Bielefeld win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1066.00 | 852.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1433.32 | 1505.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.58 | -37.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| league points | 41.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.56 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |