← 2. Bundesliga 2009-10 · Fri, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Aachen win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Koblenz win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Aachen | Koblenz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1497.05 | 1396.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.64 | 23.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 37.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 0.93 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |