← 2. Bundesliga 2009-10 · Fri, Mar 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Duisburg win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Koblenz win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Duisburg | Koblenz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1525.63 | 1395.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.87 | 9.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 42.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.89 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |