← 2. Bundesliga 2009-10 · Sun, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Duisburg win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1010.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1438.93 | 1549.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.50 | -26.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 34.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.63 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |