← 2. Bundesliga 2009-10 · Fri, Feb 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Ahlen win | 14% | 7.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 11099.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1532.47 | 1349.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.54 | 16.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 37.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 0.68 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |