← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 68% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Ingolstadt win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 4262.00 | 32.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1604.91 | 1421.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.58 | -11.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 0.93 |
| state index | 1.02 | -1.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |