← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 62% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Koblenz win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Koblenz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3013.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1576.18 | 1487.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.11 | -6.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 51.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.28 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |