← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ahlen win | 42% | 2.25 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ahlen | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 11264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1389.44 | 1437.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.04 | -31.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| state index | -1.18 | -1.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |