← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Sun, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Ingolstadt win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 25.00 | 3006.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1428.84 | 1568.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.10 | -22.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 27.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.71 |
| state index | -0.89 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |