← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Fri, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 70% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.25 |
| Ahlen win | 10% | 9.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2997.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1574.40 | 1395.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.77 | -15.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 47.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.03 | -1.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |