← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Sun, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Duisburg win | 38% | 2.40 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 11243.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1450.82 | 1547.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.36 | 12.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.54 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |