← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Mon, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg win | 68% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Ahlen win | 11% | 9.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 645.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1573.76 | 1401.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.79 | -25.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 48.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.96 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.99 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |