← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Sun, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Aachen win | 18% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Aachen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2971.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1600.29 | 1503.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.23 | -21.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.74 | -0.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |