← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Sun, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Aachen win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Aachen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 616.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1593.89 | 1530.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.53 | -9.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 45.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.50 |
| state index | 1.20 | -0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |