← 2. Bundesliga 2008-09 · Mon, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Aachen win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Duisburg win | 30% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Aachen | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1542.65 | 1534.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.89 | 27.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 33.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.52 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |