← 2. Bundesliga 2007-08 · Mon, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg win | 40% | 2.30 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Freiburg | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 246.00 | 2587.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1556.95 | 1569.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.37 | -21.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 34.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.71 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |