← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Duisburg win | 59% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Duisburg | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1558.36 | 1439.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.14 | 23.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 57.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 9.60 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |