← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Duisburg win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 681.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1484.79 | 1540.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.00 | -8.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 42.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 16.60 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |