← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Koblenz win | 54% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 10 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 31 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Koblenz | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1457.35 | 1470.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.37 | -32.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.80 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |