← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.60 |
| Burghausen win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 11 |
| 10 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rot-Weiß Essen | Burghausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1442.37 | 1390.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.54 | -36.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| league points | 34.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 14.80 |
| state index | 0.06 | -1.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |