← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Mon, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Duisburg win | 56% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
| 1. FC Köln win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Duisburg | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 4.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1561.88 | 1468.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.11 | -22.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 54.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.00 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |