← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Fri, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Karlsruhe win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 2772.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1468.29 | 1596.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.05 | 12.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| league points | 43.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.00 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |