← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Offenbach win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 9 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Offenbach | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.67 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1418.73 | 1560.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.64 | 31.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 33.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 16.60 |
| state index | -1.11 | 0.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |