← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Fri, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Duisburg win | 43% | 2.10 |
| CZ Jena win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 30 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CZ Jena | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1439.21 | 1563.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.69 | 19.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 32.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.40 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.69 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |