← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Fri, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 13 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 25 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1480.51 | 1413.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.82 | 11.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 42.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.40 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |