← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Mon, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CZ Jena win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 27 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CZ Jena | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1404.78 | 1491.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.79 | -22.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 26.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.60 |
| state index | -1.00 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |