← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 42% | 2.20 |
| SC Freiburg win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 165.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.13 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1513.80 | 1566.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.95 | 44.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 41.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.80 |
| state index | 0.57 | 1.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |