← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Thu, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 39% | 2.30 |
| 1. FC Köln win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | — | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 5.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1503.00 | 1502.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.40 | 18.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 42.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 14.00 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |