← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Munich 1860 win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rot-Weiß Essen | Munich 1860 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1419.38 | 1443.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.52 | -28.53 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 25.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 15.96 | 15.96 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.00 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |