← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 54% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Offenbach win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 2 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 26 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Offenbach |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1509.77 | 1445.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.28 | -44.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| league points | 39.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 10.60 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.94 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |