← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Fri, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 66% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 11% | 9.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 2723.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1608.72 | 1394.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.25 | 16.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| league points | 54.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 2.16 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.20 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |