← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Fri, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Burghausen win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 10 | On target | 8 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burghausen | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1394.91 | 1531.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.53 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 19.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.60 |
| state index | -1.38 | 0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |