← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg win | 40% | 2.35 |
| Duisburg win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1522.06 | 1572.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.76 | 13.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 35.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.20 |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.51 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |