← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Fri, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 33% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 3896.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 3.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1513.87 | 1555.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.85 | 16.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 16.20 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |