← 2. Bundesliga 2006-07 · Sun, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg win | 50% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 24 |
| 10 | On target | 12 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Freiburg | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1513.52 | 1522.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.58 | 6.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 32.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| state index | 0.72 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |