← 2. Bundesliga 2005-06 · Sun, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 64% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.10 |
| Ahlen win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1451.66 | 1429.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.16 | -15.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 35.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |