← 2. Bundesliga 2005-06 · Sun, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Munich 1860 win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Munich 1860 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1494.06 | 1480.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.63 | 6.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 39.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |