← 2. Bundesliga 2005-06 · Sun, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
| Dresden win | 26% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1494.78 | 1432.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.05 | -19.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |