← 2. Bundesliga 2004-05 · Sun, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ahlen win | 47% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 26% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ahlen | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1419.76 | 1437.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.70 | -30.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.94 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |