← 2. Bundesliga 2004-05 · Sun, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burghausen win | 54% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Erfurt win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burghausen | Erfurt |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1510.65 | 1431.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.74 | 5.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 44.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |