← 2. Bundesliga 2004-05 · Fri, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 37% | 2.45 |
| Aachen win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rot-Weiß Essen | Aachen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1463.59 | 1511.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.78 | 32.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 32.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.55 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |