← 2. Bundesliga 2004-05 · Fri, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erfurt win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Cottbus win | 32% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erfurt | Cottbus |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1432.54 | 1452.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.09 | 0.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 29.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.21 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |