← 2. Bundesliga 2004-05 · Fri, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Cottbus win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Cottbus |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1541.17 | 1452.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.17 | -8.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 40.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 11.96 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.19 |
| state index | 0.74 | -0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |