← 2. Bundesliga 2004-05 · Wed, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Dresden win | 30% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 258.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1463.32 | 1567.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.65 | 15.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 2.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 28.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.08 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |