← 2. Bundesliga 2004-05 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Karlsruhe win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rot-Weiß Essen | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1990.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1446.81 | 1429.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.63 | 17.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 23.00 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |